Anaheim Ducks are red hot team right now in NHL. They won 4 straight games and it looks like they found their game just at the right time.
But if we take a little bit closer look at their games, they don’t play that well. For example in last 5 games, they have the record 4-1, but they were outplayed by 7.8 shots per game. In other words, other teams make 7 shots more than Anaheim in average. They also don’t score much. In last 5 games, they score only 2.2 goals per game and the defence was great.
But when you allow constantly more than 30 shots and when you are outplayed constantly by other teams, this can not last forever and what is even more important, such teams usually become overrated. And this is the case today I think.
First of all, Arizona is playing maybe the best ice hockey right now. Yes, they are the worst team in NHL and their season is over, but they also 4 out of last 5 games and 5 out of last 7 games. In last 5 games they score 3.8 goals per game and allow only 1.8. Their goalie Antti Raanta has SV% of 0.944 in last 4 games. Arizona is also outplayed by other teams in shots per game and it will be interesting to see two teams, that have negative shot differential in this one.
Anaheim is still better overall team, but I think the odds are little bit too big on Arizona. I have projected, that this game will be very close game.
Play Arizona Coyotes 2.41
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