Derby is always tough to predict. But this match offers really interesting odds and I can´t leave it behind without bet. Chievo is playing very poorly and I just can´t miss the opportunity to play against in odds over 3.According to my model, Verona should be favorite. According to bookies, it´s an underdog. So clear value.
Expected goals 1,59 – 0,55
1,59 – 4,08 – 7,96
3,5 – 3,34 – 2,28
My bet Verona win, adj. Kelly 4,81%
More bets for tomorrow will come, if you wanna see all number, please visit my blog