Following my numbers, Sassuolo should be in a better position here. My odds are almost reverse to bookies, so it seems like a nice value bet.
My expected goals
UDI x SASS 0,97×1,68. My odds on Sass 1,81, bookies 3,61.
According to bookies and my odds, Kelly adjusted stake is 3,36%. There should be also value in betting on Udinese to no score. But the higher value in betting on S. win, so I´m choosing this bet.
Bet on Cloudbet
Jiri “Frisbald” Kaspar