Today I will look at the European basketball league (Euroleague) to find a value bet. The bet I chose is from the match between Unicaja Málaga (11th) and Panathinaikos (7th).
Unicaja Malaga are 7-5 at home with +38 point difference. They score a little bit fewer points at home than the league average, but also concede fewer points by the same margin. They are much stronger at home than on the road, which is nothing unusual. When they played at home, they beat the likes of Maccabi Tel Aviv, Real Madrid, Olimpia Milan and Khimki.
On the other side, we have Panathinaikos. They are one of the worst road teams in the league. Their record is 3-9 with -101 point difference. On top of that, they are on a 5 game losing streak away from home. They score fewer points than the league average away from home by 9, and concede fewer by 3. Another information, which I want to include in this write-up / analysis is, that one of my friends, who is a big fan of Euroleague told me recently, that Panathinaikos are in a trouble. They have some internal issues, their owner is considering leaving the league. Sounds like a chaos to me. This factor is not included in my projected lines, consider it as a little side information.
My projected lines:
Play Unicaja Malaga +2.5 @ 1.986
Bet at Nitrogensports