for the first time I will have 2 bets in one day. We are still at the Epicenter XL Dota 2 tournament in Moscow in the first round of play-offs. Now in a game between PSG.LGD and Virtus Pro. The game starts on Friday May 4th at 6pm CET.
As I said in the article of a previous bet, favorites should not be favorized so heavily, because in the last couple of months the Dota 2 scene got very competitive and most of the teams can beat each other. That is the case with PSG.LGD and Virtus Pro too, in my opinion.
PSG.LGD are the powerhouse of China. They got second place at DAC 2 weeks ago and they are hungry for success. They have been struggling in the first part of the season but since new year and after some roster shuffle they are back and stronger than ever in the last 2 years, in my opinion.
Virtus Pro are already qualified for The International so they are playing “only for the money” I guess. But they are still showing dominance on the scene but as I said, top teams can beat each other anytime. So there is a value with underdogs most of the time. One other thing is, PSG.LGD eliminated Virtus Pro 2 weeks ago in the DAC play-offs as they won 2-1.
The odds on my bet are already dropping (from 2.86).
My projected odds:
Virtus Pro: 1.94
Virtus Pro: 1.478
Play PSG.LGD @ 2.597
Bet at Nitrogensports