Seattle and LA Angels are one of the most hottest teams right now in MLB. Seattle won 8 out of last 10 games and Angels won 7 out of 10 games.
Both teams will start with left handed pitchers and despite Angels will have small pithing advantage at the start as I rank Heaney higher than LeBlanc, I think that the last third of the game will belong to Seattle Mariners.
Heaney is 3-4 to the season with ERA of 3.12 and 58 strike outs in 60 innings. In last two games he had one bad game, where he allowed 5 runs in 5 innings and he also had one very good game, where he allowed only 1 hit and 0 runs in 9 innings versus Kansas. But we must also know, that those are two of the weakest teams in the league.
LeBlanc on the other side has weaker ERA – metrics numbers and he comes to this game after he lost against Houston. But Houston is one of the best teams anyway.
We will see two left handed pitchers and Seattle have slightly better numbers against lefties. They score 4.6 runs per game with batting average of 0.265 versus lefties, while Angels score 4.4 runs per game with batting average of 0.247 versus lefties. According to other hitting stats I also rank Seattle better versus lefties.
When it comes to bullpen, this is the last third of the game I give advantage to Seattle, because I rank their bullpen as third best in the league, while on the other side Angels are just an average bullpen team.
Bookmakers set Mariners as a small underdog and according to my betting model, I give Mariners 55.23% of chance and this gives me small value on Seattle and LeBlanc.