Soccer. Romania Liga 1. Concordia Chiajna vs Sepsi OSK Prediction

Concordia Chiajna and Sepsi meet at Stadionul Concordia, in a match for the 8th round of the Liga I. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 4 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 07‑05‑2018, and ended in a (0‑2) win by Concordia Chiajna. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.
Analysis of Concordia Chiajna
The home team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 7 points won, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Astra, by (0‑3). In the last match, they lost in an away match against CSM Iaşi, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 home matches Concordia Chiajna has won 2, tied 4 and lost 4. They haven’t been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 5 of the last 7 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 5 of the last 7 matches for this competition. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 13 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (61’‑75′); they have suffered 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76’‑90′).

The team does not arrive at this match living the best moment, because it does not win for two rounds by the championship. At home has alternated between a victory, a draw and a defeat. In these conditions presented an average of 1 goal scored and 1.33 goals conceded, demonstrating in this way an average income in its sectors. In this duel the team should be organized in the 4-2-3-1, thus seeking defensive organization and the exits for the attack through the sides. The team’s highlight is the striker P. Batin with two goals scored.
Analysis of Sepsi
The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Botoşani, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Dunărea Călăraşi, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 4 away league matches Sepsi has a record of 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 away matches.
With a much more efficient start, Sepsi arrives for this round without losing for two games for the championship. Despite this, playing away from home still seeks the first win after in four games having added two draws and two defeats. In these conditions has left to be desired offensively after scoring on average only 0.25 goals per game. On the other hand, its defensive sector has had better use after suffering 1 goal by match. In this match the team should be lined up also in the 4-2-3-1. The team’s highlight in the competition is the striker M. Simonovski with two goals scored.

Betting suggestion:

Concordia Chiajna will play at home in this round and arrives as the favorite, however, and on the other hand, it is the away team Sepsi that makes a better start to the season. Another important fact is that the two teams in these conditions are finding it difficult to win, apart from the fact that both usually score and suffer few goals in this context. In this way and in front of all the data, to opt for a confrontation with few goals in the final scoreboard should be the most indicated.

My prediction:

Bet on Total under 2.5. Currently odds now 1.6

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