Barcelona vs PSV Eindhoven
UEFA Champions League 2018/19
Venue: Camp Nou
Date: Tuesday, 18 September
Kick-off time: 17:55 GMT+1
Barcelona, the favorites of Group B, will host the team who is expected to finish on the last place of the group. From the first sight, this is a must-win match for the Catalan side.
Attack and defense form
Barcelona scored 14 goals in their last 4 matches and conceded just 3. That means an average of 3.5 goals scored per match and an average of 0.75 goals conceded per match. On the other side, PSV scored 21 goals and conceded 4 goals in their last 5 matches. An average of 4.2 goals scored per match and an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match.
At home, Barcelona scored 11 goals and conceded just 2 in the last 2 matches. That is an average of 5.5 goals scored per match and 1 goal conceded per match. PSV scored 14 goals and conceded 4 in their last 4 away matches. An average of 3.5 goals scored per match and 1 goal conceded per match.
Based on the above stats, Barcelona should score 4.15 goals while PSV 3.33 goals. But, Barcelona’s opponents were much tougher, so this is not too relevant.
Besides this, the difference in value between the two teams is very big, Barcelona worths 1.03 billion pounds while PSV just 118 million pounds.
Barcelona should adopt a classic attacking 4-3-3 with Stegen-Alba, Umtiti, Pique, Roberto-Coutinho, Busquets, Rakitic-Dembele, Suarez, Messi.
PSV should go for a defensive formation 4-2-3-1 with Zoet-Angelino, Viergever, Schwaab, Dumfries-Hendrix, Rosario-Lozano, Pereiro, Bergwijn-Jong.
Coutinho is expected to make his debut in UCL for Barcelona.
Barcelona should have no worries about the championship as they have 2 easy matches coming against Girona and Leganes. However, their next UCL match is an away against Tottenham, so this PSV clash should end with a victory if they don’t want to fall behind.
PSV has a derby coming in 5 days against Ajax Amsterdam, their title counter-candidates. This is an added pressure for the Holland side.
Both teams are coming from away wins, Barca at Sociedad(1-2) while PSV in Den Haag(0-7), so a good level of confidence is expected from these sides.
There have been over 2.5 goals in Barcelona’s last 3 UCL games. Blaugrana managed to win their UCL group in the past 11 seasons and the fact that they won all their matches this season prefigurates a similar performance. Also, Barca is unbeaten in the last 26 home matches(24W2D). A formidable streak!
I expect Barcelona to have a fresh midfield line as Busquets and Coutinho were rested at Sociedad.
Eindhoven is in a good form as they won their last 7 matches and scored 11 goals in their last 2 away matches. However, PSV failed to win an away in the Champions League since November 2007.
Backing Barcelona would be the main bet, but the odds are extremely low especially as PSV are trespassing a good period. Therefore, I would choose the Total goals markets and the Asian handicap to bet on this match. Here’s my advice:
- Barcelona -2 AH at 1.56 odds
- Over 4 goals at 2.06 odds
USE THIS LINK TO BET: https://nitrogensports.eu/r/4981908