Lokomotiv Moscow vs Porto Prediction & Match Preview

Match date: 24th October 2018
Kick-Off: 8.00pm BST
Stadium: RZD Arena, Moscow

Porto currently lead the way in Group D, but they are in the most open group in this season’s Champions League. There is no stand-out side among the four, but as things stand Lokomotiv Moscow are the one side who look out of the running for the last 16. They have a make or break clash with the current leaders on Wednesday, as they welcome Porto. The Dragons have plenty of experience in this competition to back them up, but will they be able to come away from Russia with three points?

The hosts would have looked on at CSKA’s recent victory over Real Madrid and been inspired to kick on in Europe this season. They should have been more competitive in their first two matches, which they lost to Schalke and Galatasaray. This is probably the easiest draw Lokomotiv could have landed, so they have really made a mess of a golden opportunity. Will they be able to pick things up in Wednesday’s game?

Porto do make this trip as odds on favourites, but there are questions around their form ahead of this trip. There was little doubt about the manner of their weekend win, as they crushed minnows Vila Real 6-0 in the Portuguese Cup. That clash did bring them back from the international break with a heavy win, but it was far from a big test of their side. Heading to Moscow is a difficult trip, and it’s going to be awkward for a side who are light up front, with their main frontman, Vincent Aboubakar, ruled out through injury.

The Dragons may head here on the back of a big win, but their real test came before the international break, when they lost to a 10-man Benfica side. Their chances of retaining their title are looking shaky after a mixed start to the campaign, while their European results have been nothing special. They head here with a 1-0 win over Galatasaray and a 1-1 draw at Schalke behind them, and they may have a tough time getting a result here.

On the road in the Champions League Porto have failed to win their last four, while they have one win in seven. They don’t exactly deserve to be so heavily backed in this trip with that form behind them, especially after going four games without a win against Russian sides in Europe. We think there’s value here on Lokomotiv to avoid defeat, so we’re backing them on the double chance market.

HEAD TO HEAD:

The sides meet for their first head-to-head encounter ever on Wednesday evening, looking for all-important points at RZD Arena.

LOKOMOTIV MOSCOW VS FC PORTO STATS:

Lokomotiv Moscow have failed to keep a clean sheet in all six meetings with Portuguese sides in European competition
After winning six and drawing two of their first eight European meetings with Russian sides, FC Porto are winless in their last four against them (D2 L2), most recently vs Zenit St Petersburg in the 2013-14 Champions League group stages (D1 L1).
Lokomotiv Moscow have lost each of their last four games in major European competition (excluding qualifiers); only once before have they been on a longer such run (five games in 2003).
Porto are unbeaten in their last three Champions League games (W1 D2), last going longer in 2016 (four games). They could win back-to-back games in the competition for the first time since November 2016.
Lokomotiv could lose both of their first two home Champions League games in a season for only the second time, previously doing so in 2002/03.
Porto have won none of their last four away Champions League games (D3 L1); they last went five without victory between March 2005 and September 2006.
Lokomotiv are one of only three sides yet to score in this season’s Champions League (also Valencia and Young Boys); only one Russian side has ever failed to score in each of their first three Champions League games of a season previously, Spartak Moscow doing so in 2002/03.
23 of Porto’s last 24 Champions League goals have come from inside the penalty area, the only exception being Alex Telles’ strike against Monaco in December 2017.
Each of Porto’s last six goals in the Champions League have been scored by different players (Aboubakar, Brahimi, Telles, Soares, Otavio and Marega).

LOKOMOTIV MOSCOW TEAM NEWS:

Both Fedor Smolov and Jefferson Farfan are set to miss out of this clash with Porto, but they’re hopeful that Maciej Rybus will return.

FC PORTO TEAM NEWS:

Vincent Aboubakar is a major absentee for the visitors, while Riechedly Bazoer could miss out this week.

Parovozy got off to a poor kick off to the season, but their form has seen a decent rise of late. They won three on the bounce to climb up to the sixth place in the Russian Premier League standings. The streak includes a huge 0-1 victory over CSKA Moscow in the city derby just days after Armeitsy took a Real Madrid scalp in the Champions League.

Nonetheless, Yury Semin’s men failed to deliver in the continental competition where they are yet to score a goal coming into this third round tie. We can certainly expect a real buzz in and around RZD Arena given this is the hosts’ last chance to catch up with the rest of the group in the battle for one of top two spots.

Looking from the betting perspective, there is a huge value in backing the hosts not to lose at 1.85 odds. Loko won three on the spin in a strong Russian Premier League and we’d not be surprised to even see them snatching the spoils here. The alternative bet would be Under 2.5 goals FT since both teams were pretty tough to break down of late.

My prediction:

Bet Total  Under 2 Best odds 2.09

Bet here 

NHL Betting Prediction: San Jose at Nashville

Nashville Predators are on fire. They are 7-1 to the season and are playing very good ice hockey in both defence and offense. They score 3.4 goals per game and allow 1.94 goals per game. One of the reasons why I think they will be among the top teams this season are their goalies. They have two very good goalies in Rinne and Saros. Both are playing and both are making good saves. If we check their starts, Rinne started 5 games and Saros started 4 games and it is projected to start this game too. So, they had both a chance to play, which I think is not that bad, because the season is long and if you have such good goalies you can afford this and you will need them both for good results. What I want to say here is that Rinne is injured now, but I am not concerned at all with Saros in the net.

Saros GAA%- number is even slightly better than Rinne’s number and both goalies have QS above 60% since last season.

On the other side we have San Jose, one of the top teams in last years and they are 4-3 to the season, but I don’t doubt, that they will be among the best this season too, especially now, when they bring Erik Karlsson from Ottawa.

They will probably start with Martin Jones, who is sitting on 3-3 record so far with SV% of 0.907.

Bookmakers have San Jose Sharks as a small underdog here at around +114, but I think they should be little bit bigger favourite. My betting model has them at much bigger number and if we take into account, that Joe Thornton is not playing and if we take into accoun, that home team is 48-19 in last 67 meetings and if we take into account bad Sharks record in Nashville (3-13 in last 16 games in Nashville), I think we have some solid odds on Nashville at around -126 (1.79).

Play Nashville Predators -126

at Bitcoinrush

Estonia vs Hungary Predictions and Match Preview

Estonia vs Hungary
UEFA Nations League
Date: Monday, 15th October 2018
Kick-off at 19:45 UK/ 20:45 CET
Venue: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn).

Both Estonia and Hungary are off to a poor start in the UEFA Nations League and they sit at the foot of the table behind Finland and Greece in Group 3 of the League 3.

Estonia are in desperate need for a win here after losing all their three games at the group stage so far; all by the same 0-1 margin. On top of that their overall form in recent months is extremely poor, lost 5 on the bounce scoring just once in the process.

Hungary did manage to grab a win against Greece last month, however they lost the remaining two games, including the reverse leg at Greece by 1-0 margin this Saturday.

There is nothing to write about the Magyar’s overall form at the moment, it is indeed very poor. The notable of which their form of the road which is a 7 match win-less run conceding at an average 2 goals per game.

Estonia vs Hungary Head-to-head

They met in a 2014 WC qualifier back in 2013 at Hungary, in which Hungary won 5-1.
In 4 meetings between 2003 and 2013, Hungary has the edge over their opponents.
The Magyars won 3 games on the trot and the Blue-shirts have a single victory.
Estonia has only 2 home victories in their last 5 games played at A. Le Coq Arena.
Hungary has never won previous 4 away games and has conceded in last 6 away games.

ESTONIA TEAM NEWS

None of Estonia’s current squad play in top European leagues, although midfielder Sander Puri does play for Irish club Waterford. Former Liverpool defender and national team captain Ragnar Klavan has been left out of the squad, as have a number of other players with over 100 caps, like fellow defenders Enar Jaager and Dmitri Kruglov. Attackers Ats Purje and Henri Anier, both with over 10 international goals could start after being left on the bench against Finland.

HUNGARY TEAM NEWS

Former Liverpool goalkeeper Peter Gulasci is in the squad, although fellow keeper Adam Kovacsik is injured. Uncapped trio David Grof, Botond Barath, and Filip Holender could all make appearances, whilst RB Leipzig defender Willi Orban could add to the first cap he picked up against Greece.

Estonia vs Hungary Prediction

Both teams are in extreme poor run of form and there are enough statistics to suggest their inability to win football games. Hungary did bag a win against Greece in this group, yet their away form is one of the worst having lost to the likes of Andorra and Luxembourg not long ago. On the other hand, Estonia are on a five match losing streak across all venues.

My prediction:

Bet Estonia AH (+0.5)    Best odds 2.01

Bet here

Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction & Match Preview

Napoli vs Sassuolo
2018/19 Italian Serie A.
Date: Sunday 7 October 2018
Kick-Off: 17:00 UK,
Venue: Stadio San Paolo (Naples)

​Napoli are hoping to add to their midweek UEFA Champions League victory over Liverpool when they host Sassuolo in the league at the San Paolo on Sunday. Lorenzo Insigne’s strike was the difference against the Reds, and helped the Partenopei earn their first three points of their European campaign. The Neapolitans are six points behind leaders Juventus in Serie A and are looking to get back to winning ways, following their defeat to the Bianconeri, which saw the Old Lady come from behind to win 3-1. Sassuolo lie in fifth, two points behind Napoli and know that a victory over Carlo Ancelotti’s men could potentially see them move into second if results go their way. The Neroverdi, like Napoli, were also beaten in their last league encounter – a 4-1 defeat at home to Milan – but have scored in each of their league matches this season and will be hoping to do so at the San Paolo.

Classic Encounter

Napoli 3-1 Sassuolo- October 2017- Serie A

Last season’s fixture between the two clubs promised much. Coming into the match, Napoli were at the top of the league while Sassuolo were hovering two points above the relegation zone. The Neapolitans started in the ascendancy and went in front through Allan in the 22nd minute, but Diego Falcinelli’s strike in the 41st minute gave the visitors hope and looked to have taken the Neroverdi level going into half-time. However, José Callejón’s 44th minute effort gave the Azzurri the lead at the interval. Nine minutes into the second-half, Raúl Albiol found Dries Mertens, who made it three to put Maurizio Sarri’s men in charge and they held on for all three points.

Key Battle

Lorenzo Insigne vs. Gian Marco Ferrari

Insigne scored the winner against Liverpool in the Champions League to maintain his side’s unbeaten start to the competition. He already has five Serie A goals to his name this season and will be hoping to add to his tally against Sassuolo, who he has scored against only twice. Insigne will come up against defender Ferrari, who unlike his name, isn’t the quickest and may struggle with the pace and trickery of the forward. He is tall, however, and at 6′ 2” he’ll be able to deal with any sort of aerial threat that Insigne may pose from set-pieces and crosses into the box. Ferrari has helped keep two clean sheets for Sassuolo this season: including against Inter – demonstrating he is no slouch in the big games and the Neroverdi will be hoping he can have another impressive match against the likes of Insigne.

Team news

Napoli will be without Portuguese international full-back Mário Rui, who was sent off against Juventus after picking up two yellow cards. This could see Kévin Malcuit come into the starting line-up, with Elseid Hysaj swapping flanks and operating as a left-back instead. Sassuolo have no significant absentees for the match against Napoli.

Potential Lineups

Napoli (4-4-2): Ospina; Malcuit, Albiol, Koulibaly, Hysaj; Callejon, Allan, Zielinski, Verdi; Mertens, Insigne

Sassuolo (4-3-3): Consigli; Rogerio, Ferrari, Marlon, Lirola; Sensi, Bourabia, Magnanelli; Berardi, Boateng, Di Francesco

Napoli should win this one quite convincingly after their confidence-boost against Liverpool. The fire power of both Arkadiusz Milik and Insigne up front may be too much for Sassuolo to handle, even with the defensive capabilities of Ferrari and co. Sassuolo conceded four against Milan last time out and will seek for a better defensive display in Naples. On the other hand, the Neroverdi have scored in each of their last three trips in the league to the San Paolo and may have some fire power themselves. Top-scorer Kevin Prince-Boateng has three league goals this season but hasn’t found the net away from home since August, and what better stage to do it. Although Sassuolo have never won there, Roberto De Zerbi will ensure his side put in a spirited display but there’s surely only going to be one winner.

My prediction:

Bet Napoli AH (-1.5) Best odds 1.93

Bet here 

Udinese vs Juventus Predictions & Betting Tips

Match date: 6th October 2018
Kick-Off: 5.00pm BST
Stadium: Dacia Arena, Udine.

Juventus are looking to make it eight Serie A wins on the bounce when they travel to the Stadio Friuli to face Udinese on Saturday, in a battle of the Bianconeris. Massimiliano Allegri’s side have been utterly flawless this season, whether that be domestically or in the Champions League. They sit top of the league, already six points clear of nearest challengers ​Napoli. Meanwhile, Udinese have made a slow start to the season. The Zebrette are languishing in a disappointing 14th place, three points above the relegation zone. It’s undoubtedly a tough game for them, but should they get a result against Italy’s most dominant team, then it could turn their season around.

Classic Encounter

Udinese 2-6 Juventus- October 2017- Serie A

Last season’s fixture between the two clubs at Dacia Arena was an absolute stonker. Coming into the match Juve were not in their usual place of dominance, but in a lowly third, while Udinese were really struggling, level on points with 18th placed Hellas Verona. Despite their position in the table, Udinese scored first, Stipe Perica putting them ahead. However, the lead didn’t last long, as Juventus equalised shortly after thanks to a Samir own goal. Sami Khedira scored in the 20th minute, but the scales tipped back once again when striker Mario Mandzukic was sent off. In the second period, it really went barmy. The home side got their equaliser two minutes into the half, but it merely sparked I Bianconeri into a goal-spree. Rugani scored to make it 3-2 before Khedira popped up with two more to net the first hat-trick of his career. Finally, in the 90th minute, Miralem Pjanic found the net once more, to wrap up a 6-2 win for the Old Lady. Mental.

Key Battle

Paulo Dybala vs Valon Behrami

​Paulo Dybala put in a mesmerising performance in the mid-week, scoring a hat-trick against Young Boys in the Champions League to take his side to the top of Group H. The away fans will be hopeful of another masterclass this weekend. The Argentine international is a double threat. Not only is he fantastic at ghosting into space in the box and putting in a cool finish, but he also has a creative spark which can get the best out of strikers Mandzukic and ​Cristiano Ronaldo. Former ​Watford and ​West Ham defensive midfielder Valon Behrami will have to do everything in his power to keep tabs on the number 10, and to press and tackle him whenever he gets the chance. Otherwise, the 24-year-old could boss the gap between defence and midfield with devastating effect.

Team News

There are a few injuries and suspensions for Allegri to contend with. Leonardo Spinazzola is currently undergoing Cruciate Ligament Surgery so will be out for the next few weeks at the least. Centre-back Daniele Rugani is recovering from a bruised rib so is not expected to be back until next week, whilst former World Cup winner Sami Khedira is out due to a muscle issue. Meanwhile, Douglas Costa remains suspended following the spitting incident against Sassuolo. As for Udinese, they will be without Svante Ingelsson, Emmanuel Badu and Andrija Balic, who are all sidelined with injury.

Potential Lineups

Udinese (4-5-1): Scuffet; Stryger Larsen, Troost-Ekong, Nuytinck, Santos; Behrami; Pussetto, Forfana, Mandragora, De Paul; Lasanga.

Juventus (4-3-3): Szczesny; Cancelo, Bonucci, Chiellini, Sandro; Can, Pjanic, Matuidi; Dybala; Mandzukic, Ronaldo.

My prediction:

Bet Juventus AH (-1)  Best odds 1.6

Bet here 

Qarabag vs Arsenal Prediction and Match Preview

Qarabag vs Arsenal
UEFA Europa League
Date: Thursday, 4th October 2018
Kick-off at 17:55 UK/ 18:55 CET
Venue: Baku Olympic Stadium (Baku).

Arsenal will be looking to keep up their current winning streak as they travel to Azerbaijan to face Qarabag in the Europa League on Thursday evening. The Gunners got their European campaign off to a perfect start when they comfortably dispatched Ukrainian side Vorskla Poltava 4-2 in their last match. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang shone during the win and a repeat of that performance will surely be enough to stretch their current win streak to eight games. As for their opponents, Qarabag fell to a 2-0 defeat at the hands of Portuguese side Sporting CP and will be hoping that they can take advantage of Arsenal’s lengthy travel to pick up at least a point.

Recent Form

Qarabag compete in an eight-team league in Azerbaijan and are currently unbeaten, having won five matches and drawn once. Their last match saw them win 2-0 away against FK Sabah on Saturday.

After losing their opening two matches against Manchester City and Chelsea, Arsenal have gone on to win their previous seven matches and most recently dispatched high-flying Watford 2-0 on Saturday.

Key Battle

Vagner vs Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

A journeyman Brazilian keeper who is currently playing for an Azerbaijani team sounds like the stuff of Football Manager fantasy, but Vagner is indeed Qarabag’s number one keeper. He has played for a whole host of sides during his 13-year career, including Portuguese side Estoril and Belgian outfit Royal Excel Mouscron, but he probably won’t have faced a striker quite as lethal as ​Aubameyang. The Gabonese international has been somewhat overshadowed by his front-line partner ​Alexandre Lacazette so far this season, but he still has four goals to his name – including a brace against Vorskla in his last Europa League match. The striker should get the nod to lead the line, so he will be hoping that he can add to his tally on Thursday.

Team News

Dani Quintana is the only reported injury concern for Qarabag as the midfielder is set to be out of action until December. Otherwise, their team should look very similar to the one that lost against Sporting previously.

Arsenal will be without Armenian midfielder ​Henrikh Mkhitaryan, who has not travelled to Azerbaijan due to safety concerns. ​Petr Cech has joined a host of first-team players on the injury list including Sead Kolasinac and Laurent Koscielny, meaning Bernd Leno is certain to keep his place in goal.

Predicted Qarabag Lineup: Vagner; Medvedev, Huseynov, Rzezniczak, Guerrier; Qarayev, Diniyev, Madatov, Zoubir, Ozobic, Emeghara.

Predicted Arsenal Lineup: Leno; Lichtsteiner, Holding, Sokratis, Monreal; Elneny, Guendouzi, Welbeck, Iwobi, Ramsey; Aubameyang.

Things are looking rosy for Arsenal at the moment and all the signs are pointing towards an eighth straight victory in this one. Travelling all the way out to Azerbaijan will take its toll on the players and it certainly wont be plain sailing, but their quality should be decisive. Unai Emery will also be hoping that his side can wrap up qualification to the knockout stages as quickly as possible so that he can rest some of his first team regulars for upcoming European and Premier League matches.

My prediction:

Bet Arsenal AH (-1) Best odds 1.78

Bet  here

FC Porto VS Galatasaray Prediction UEFA Champions League

Porto vs Galatasaray
UEFA – Champions League
Date: Wednesday, 3 October 2018
Kick-Off at 20:00 UK/ 21:00 CET
Venue: Estadio Do Dragao (Porto).

Porto and Galatasaray are going to face each other in the Wednesday’s evening clash of the second round in the Champions League group stage. Home side managed to get back home with a point from the opening round of the competition as they managed to materialize one of the two penalty kicks against Schalke. Although this group is probably the least attractive in this edition of the Champions League, the fact is that all four teams can hope of proceeding further. Moussa Marega and the lads haven’t tasted a defeat in the last five occasions and they want to keep the run going. Porto are the most efficient side in the Primeira Liga, however they are a point behind Braga who are sitting on the top spot. Turkish champions have been very convincing in the opening round as they’ve celebrated a 3-0 victory over Lokomotiv Moscow. They are also sitting on the top of the Turkish Super Lig, however they’ve already suffered two defeats in seven matches. Fatih Terim’s side has been very good in front of the oppositions’ goal, however they would need to improve their defending. Although this is going to be a real challenge for the visitors, they are going to search for a positive result in this one.

Porto vs Galatasaray: Head-to-head

These two sides faced each other only once in the match of the Emirates Cup, a friendly tournament played five years ago. In their only encounter, Galatasaray managed to snatch a narrow 1-0 victory.

PORTO HOME

Porto have failed to score in 20% of their last 20 home European games. Porto have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their last 20 home European games.

GALATASARAY AWAY

Galatasaray have failed to score in 40% of their last 20 away European games. Galatasaray have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their last 20 away European games.

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS KEY STATISTICS

PORTO HOME
In their last 20 home European matches, Porto have scored 2.0 goals per game and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average. The last 20 Porto home European matches have produced an average of 3.20 goals per game.

GALATASARAY AWAY
In their last 20 away European matches, Galatasaray have scored 0.9 goals per game and conceded 2.2 goals per game on average. The last 20 Galatasaray away European matches have produced an average of 3.20 goals per game.

This is going to be a very tight clash and a very hard one to predict.

My prediction:

Bet Galatasaray  AH (+1) Best odds 2.10

I  will  bet here