Entries by Jiri Kašpar

PL: Stoke x Burnley

Its time for another bet on Premier League. Stoke is fighting for survival in Premer League. There is a lot of reasons for this. Potters lost their last 3 home matches and were able to win in last 10 games. They are toothless in the offense, scored only 3 goals in last 6 matches. This […]

PL: Newcastle x Arsenal

Arsenal defense is in big troubles. They made a huge amount of big defensive errors (7 in last 6 matches, 2nd worst in Premier League) and conceded 51 shots from in box area in this matches. Only few teams were weaker in these crucial defensive statistics. When we take a closer look, Arsenal faced teams […]

ITA: Chievo x Sassuolo

Hi guys, after a short break, it´s time for another pick. Chievo is very weak and odds on Sassuolo should be lower. According to my betting model, there is a nice value in betting on visitors here. Chievo x Sassuolo, Sassuolo to win, odds 2,7 More picks for today: AC x Inter Milano, AC win […]

ITA: Sampdoria x Inter Milano

After a successful bet on Sasuollo yesterday, there are more interesting matches in Italy today. For BitcoinBettors, I try to choose bets from my model with the highest adjusted Kelly. First is Sampdoria win over Inter Milano. Sampdoria has very wide results in the last weeks and produced poor defensive and good offensive numbers. Last […]

Udinese x Sassuolo

Following my numbers, Sassuolo should be in a better position here. My odds are almost reverse to bookies, so it seems like a nice value bet.   My expected goals UDI x SASS 0,97×1,68. My odds on Sass 1,81, bookies 3,61. According to bookies and my odds, Kelly adjusted stake is 3,36%. There should be […]

Cagliari x Lazio

Lazion should be a bigger favorite here, so nice value in betting on visitors.   Expected goals 1,38 x 3,08   Projected odds 7,11 6,88 1,4 Bookie odds 5,08 3,9 1,7   Lazio win, odds 1,7, kelly adj. 3,06%   Jiri “Frisbald” Kaspar www.frisbald.com

Crotone x Sampdoria

Another bet following my model. Seems like nice value bet for Sampdoria. For full numbers, read this article   Expected goals 0,92 x 2,02 Projected odds 6,12 4,82 1,59 Bookies odds 3,21 3,26 2,35   Sampdoria win, odds 2,35, kelly adj. 3,54%   Bet on Cloudbet Jiri “Frisbald” Kaspar www.frisbald.com

Sassuolo x Spal

According to my numbers and models, this seems like a nice value bet on Sassuolo. For full numbers for this match and 28. Week of Serie A, please visit my blog.   Expected goals 1,95 x 0,69 My projected odds 1,49 4,88 8,12 Bookies odds 2,06 3,26 4 Bet 1, odds 2,06, kelly adj. 3,61% […]

Verona x Chievo

Derby is always tough to predict. But this match offers really interesting odds and I can´t leave it behind without bet. Chievo is playing very poorly and I just can´t miss the opportunity to play against in odds over 3.According to my model, Verona should be favorite. According to bookies, it´s an underdog. So clear value.   My […]

Dukla Prague x FC Vysocina Jihlava

There were played 3 round since winter break in Czech First League and situation of both teams can´t be much more different. Dukla had big problems even before winter break (especially as a visitors), but now thing seems even worse. 0-1-2 1:4 after 3 games with average opponents and very bad play. On the other […]