MLS: Sporting Kansas City – Seattle Sounders

Hi guys!

It might be a little early for betting on the MLS league, but I really like this bet because I think there is some value. I will not share my projected odds for this game, because there is just not enough numbers yet (Seattle played only 3 games) and I think it is pointless to completely rely on them. I will have some other reasons to make this bet, though.

Seattle Sounders will be missing Clint Dempsey, among other players, probably the best american soccer player in the recent years. He played only 37 minutes this season and then he got sent off. He also missed the opening game of the season for Seattle and this might be one of the reasons why are the Sounders without a point so far and with 5 conceded goals and none scored. Interesting fact is, that none of those 3 games see Seattle finishing the match with 11 players on the pitch. Their centre back, Tony Alfaro was sent off against LAFC, Dempsey got a red card after 37 minutes against FC Dallas and their right back, Kelvin Leerdam enjoyed only 40 minutes of game time in their home game vs Montreal.

Sporting Kansas City had a very good start to the new season, if we don’t count their opening game, which they lost 0-2 at home vs New York City. Even in that game, they were a little bit unlucky. I will also mention, that this team loves to attack. In average, they have 17 goal scoring attempts per game. In general, I think MLS is a very interesting league to watch, teams love to attack, and because of that we see a lot of goal scoring attempts on both sides, lot of goals, etc.
Kansas City are leading the Western Conference with 13 points from 6 matches, losing once, drawing once and winning 4 games. They scored the most goals in the league so far – 12, but they also conceded a lot – 9. If they can tighten the defence a little bit, they can become the title contenders this season.

 

Play Sporting Kansas City @ 1.74 / -136

Bet at BitcoinRush

 

 

Championship: Bristol City – Birmingham

Hi guys!

After a few quiet days I am bringing you another recommended bet. The bet will be from the second highest english football (or soccer for american readers) league, Championship, in a match between Bristol City (8th) and Birmingham (20th).

My projected goals for Bristol are 1.53 goals in this game. They are on a bad form since Christmas, winning only 3 games, drawing 6 and losing 8. They are still on an OK form at home, losing only 1 in their last 6 home games. They still have a chance to fight for promotion and Birmingham’s away form is not the greatest either.

My projected goals for Birmingham are 0.79 goals. They are 1-4 in their last 5 away games and overall they are the second worst away team in the league, scoring 15 and conceding 36 goals so far in the campaign.

Let’s not forget to mention, however, that Bristol have never won against Birmingham when playing at home (0-1-6).

My projected win percentage for Bristol City: 55.05%
My projected odds on Bristol City: 1.82
Bookie’s odds on Bristol City: 2.08

I always recommend to make your own research before placing a bet.

Play Bristol City @ 2.08 (+108)

Bet at BitcoinRush

HUN: DEAC – Zalakeramia

Hey guys!

Today, my bet will be from the hungarian basketball league in a match between DEAC and Zalakeramia.

Bookie’s lines:
DEAC: +5.5
Zalakeramia: -5.5
Totals: 165.5

DEAC is the worst home team in the league, with a record of 3-9 and -101 point difference. At home they score fewer points than the league average by 6 points and concede more by 7. They are also on a 6-game long losing streak at home. They also never won against Zalakeramia at home (0-4) and only once they beat the today’s spread set by the bookies.

On the other hand we have Zalakeramia and I will start off by saying, that they have a reason to play for today! It is the last round of the regular season, and while DEAC’s season is done, if Zalakeramia wins today then under some circumstances they can make the Winner’s stage at the playoffs! I’m sure they will be motivated today, but let’s check the other numbers as well.
Zalakeramia is 6-6 away from home with a point difference of +5. They are an average team and are playing against the weakest home team in the league today. Zalakeramia scores more than the league average away from home by 7 points but also concede more by 2. If we don’t count their loss against Szedeak, then they only lost away from home to the teams above them in the league table. Also, in all their away games where they won, they did not beat the today’s spread only once (out of 6 games).

My projected lines:
DEAC: +13.5
Zalakeramia: -13.5
Totals: 169.5

If you are interested in more bets by me (NBA, Dota 2 esports) you can follow me on Twitter.

Play Zalakeramia -5.5 @ 1.91

Bet at Cloudbet

Dota 2: OpTic – Vici Gaming

Hi guys!

Yesterday I shared another bet from the esports world. It was a match between Vici Gaming and Newbee, from a Dota 2 tournament taking place in China, called DAC. My team (Vici Gaming) won and the bet was a winning bet. I hope this next bet is going to be a winning bet too. I will look at the match between OpTic Gaming and Vici Gaming.

Bookie’s odds:
OpTic: 1.955
Vici Gaming: 1.824

This is a very hard match to predict. On one side, we have OpTic Gaming, not even the best team from their region. They are struggling to collect DPC points throughout the whole season, but recently they stepped up their game. In my opinion, it is thanks to the role swap between 33 and Zai. They look a lot better and the results speak for themselves. They beat TNC and Newbee on Day 1 and the bookies overreacted a little bit and set low odds on them. We can’t forget, that they are only the 12th team in the global team rankings and have 0 DPC points. That means they haven’t gotten deep into the playoffs at any tournament. Short term results are looking great for them.

But they are going up against Vici Gaming. This is going to be third bet where I back them and I have my reasons. I always say, that they have this experienced captain LanM, and it really matters. Not that PPD on the other side is not a good captain, but his team is young, with 2 inexperienced players (CCnC and 33). Vici Gaming are 9th in the global rankings and they are sitting in the 5th place in the DPC rankings with 2160 points. They are delivering at LAN tournaments. I think, they should be bigger favorites here. What scares me is the fact, that they lost against OG (a team without their best player, using their coach as a standin) but then they beat Newbee.

My projected odds:
OpTic: 4.57
Vici Gaming: 1.28

Follow me on Twitter, where I share more bets and projected lines, including NBA.

Play Vici Gaming @ 1.824

Bet at Nitrogensports

Dota 2: Vici Gaming – Newbee

Hi guys!

My bet will be from a Dota 2 tournament called DAC, which is the 2nd biggest tournament of the whole season. It takes place in China and 16 teams are battling for $1.000.000 prize pool.
I am looking at a group stage game between two chinese teams: Vici Gaming and Newbee.

Bookie’s odds:
Vici Gaming: 2.281
Newbee: 1.605

For startes, let me say, that I think the margins are really high in esports. 106.14% on Nitrogensports in this particular game. It is still a young market and we all have to try our best to beat the bookmakers. I hope my analysis and my numbers will help you.

Both teams have their ups and downs and are not dominating the scene. Newbee was the absolut powerhouse of China few months ago and last season too, but they recently went into a minor slump, as they got demolished against EG in a BO3 series 2-0 with both games being shorter than 20 minutes. That is a big deal. In my opinion, short term results matter much more in esports than in other sports. They also lost in the Bucharest Major semifinals against VGJ Thunder 2-0 and they couldn’t beat Fnatic few days ago either, as they exited the Dreamleague tournament after a 2-1 loss in 3rd round of Lower Bracket. Since then, they played 2 qualifiers series in China against VGJ Thunder and EHOME and they won both of them 2-0. However, I am still not convinced by their results at LAN tournaments.

Vici Gaming, that is a roller-coaster of a story. I remember my first bet I shared on this site was when I backed them to win against Team Liquid at ESL One Katowice. I wrote about them, that they had a rough start, but were starting to get louder and louder and more challenging at recent tournaments, they got into 3 grand finals I think but they didn’t win any of them. Well, at Katowice they reached the grand finals once again, but came up short against Virtus Pro, the best team in the world right now and lost 3-1 in a BO5 series. Since then they have been sitting quietly under the radar, underperforming at Bucharest Major where they lost to paiN Gaming, one of the weakest teams there. They are not a bad team at all, they had their time to practice, to come up with new strategies, get rid of stress and get motivated after losing all those grand finals. They have one of the most experienced players as their captain, LanM, who I am sure will try his best and make his team try his best in this tournament.

My odds:
Vici Gaming: 2.000
Newbee: 2.000

Apparently, my numbers say that this game could be a 50:50 game. And I agree. These teams are going through a rough patch currently and they need results. Both teams need the DPC points and the fact that this is a BO1 game, anything can happen. I see some value at Vici Gaming, so I am going to take them. Good luck.

You can follow me on Twitter, where I share all my projected lines. I will also start sharing my NBA projected lines there daily.

Play Vici Gaming @ 2.281

Bet at Nitrogensports

FRA B: Roanne – Poitiers 86

Hi guys.

Today, my bet will be from the second french basketball league, in a match between Chorale Roanne and Poitiers 86.

Bookie’s lines:
Roanne: -13
Poitiers: +13
Totals: 153

Roanne are third in the table with a record of 18-6 and +272 point difference. At home, they score more than the league average by 4.5 points and concede less by 10.

They will face Poitiers 86. They are 13th in the table, with a record of 8-16 and -94 point difference. When they play away, they score fewer than the league average by 0.5 and concede more by 2. They are 3-9 away. This is a match between a strong home team and below average away team.

My projected lines:
Roanne: -19.5
Poitiers: +19.5
Totals: 147.5

 

Play Roanne -13 @ 1.87

Bet at Cloudbet

HUN: Szedeak – Kaspovari

Hello, everyone.

Today, my recommended bet will be from the hungarian basketball league in a match between Szedeak and Kaspovari.

Bookie’s lines:
Szedeak: -5.5
Kaspovari: +5.5
Totals: 154.5

Both teams need wins like hell, they are fighting for their spots in the play-offs. Szedeak currently in 10th place, Kaposvari in 9th. However, if we look at their home and away form, it’s a different picture.

Szedeak are 6-3 at home with +84 point difference. At home, they score in average 81.5 points, which is the same as the league average, but they concede fewer by 5.
2 of those 3 home losses came against the teams sitting in the 1st and 3rd place and both of those games they lost only by 1 point. So it is safe to say that Szedeak is a very strong home team. Their record at home against Kaposvari is impeccable. They haven’t lost against Kaspovari at home since 2014 and in all of those games they beat the today’s spread.

We have Kaposvari as the visiting team and they are a weak road team. They are 3-9 away from home with -107 point difference. They are also 1-9 in their last 10 away matches, beating only DEAC (12th) by 5 points. Away from home they score fewer than the league average by 0.5 and concede more by 4.

My projected lines:
Szedeak: -14
Kaspovari: +14
Totals: 158

 

Play Szedeak -5.5 @ 1.86

Bet at Cloudbet

BEL: Oostende – Mons Hainaut

Hey guys!

Today, my bet will be from the Belgian basketball league in a match between Oostende and Mons Hainaut.

Bookie’s lines:
Oostende: -14.5
Mons Hainaut: +14.5
Totals: 153.5

Oostende are comfortably sitting in the 1st place in the league with a 20-0 record and +419 point difference. They are on a different level compared to the rest of the league, especially from a defensive point of view. At home, they concede fewer points that the league average by 17.5 and score more by 4.5. When they play at home, they beat their opponents in average by 26.5 points. In their last home game against Mons Hainaut they won 58 points, in December last year.

Monst Hainaut on the other side has mixed results. They can ofter turn up and win against good teams. They are sitting in the 5th place with the record 11-9 and -37 point difference. If we look at their away games, they are 4-6 and -73 point difference. Away from home, they score fewer than the league average by 0.5 and concede more by 2.5.

My projected lines:
Oostende: -29.5
Mons Hainaut: +29.5
Totals: 147.5

Play Oostende -14.5 @ 1.87

Bet at Cloudbet

EUR: Unicaja Malaga – Panathinaikos

Hey guys!

Today I will look at the European basketball league (Euroleague) to find a value bet. The bet I chose is from the match between Unicaja Málaga (11th) and Panathinaikos (7th).

Bookie’s lines:
Malaga: +2.5
Panathinaikos: -2.5
Totals: 155.5

Unicaja Malaga are 7-5 at home with +38 point difference. They score a little bit fewer points at home than the league average, but also concede fewer points by the same margin. They are much stronger at home than on the road, which is nothing unusual. When they played at home, they beat the likes of Maccabi Tel Aviv, Real Madrid, Olimpia Milan and Khimki.

On the other side, we have Panathinaikos. They are one of the worst road teams in the league. Their record is 3-9 with -101 point difference. On top of that, they are on a 5 game losing streak away from home. They score fewer points than the league average away from home by 9, and concede fewer by 3. Another information, which I want to include in this write-up / analysis is, that one of my friends, who is a big fan of Euroleague told me recently, that Panathinaikos are in a trouble. They have some internal issues, their owner is considering leaving the league. Sounds like a chaos to me. This factor is not included in my projected lines, consider it as a little side information.

My projected lines:
Malaga: -7.5
Panathinaikos: 7.5
Totals: 146.5

Play Unicaja Malaga +2.5 @ 1.986

Bet at Nitrogensports

 

POL: Krosno – Starogard Gdanski

Hey guys!

Today, I decided to look at the polish basketball league to make a bet in a match between Krosno and Starogard Gdanski.

Bookie’s lines:
Krosno: +2.5
Starogard Gdanski: -2.5
Totals: 160.5

Firstly, let me say, that there is a team in the polish league that has been disqualified from the league, so all their matches are 0-20 losses. For that reason, I will completely ignore this team in this league.

Krosno are the 2nd worst home team in the league, with a record of 4-6 and -80 point difference. At home, they score fewer points than the league average by 5.5. They concede more than the league average by 6 points. They are 1-4 in their last 5 matches overall, so they are not doing very well.

On the other side, we have Starogard Gdanski. They are 1-4 in their last 5 away games, but all of those games were against an opponent from the upper side of the league table. They are 5-5 in away games, with +21 point difference. They are looking forward to the remaining away games against easy opponents, where they need to win, because they are fighting for the spot in the play-offs. In their home games, they score more than the league average by 2 points and concede fewer by 3.

My projected lines:
Krosno: 13.5
Starogard Gdanski: -13.5
Totals: 163.5

Play Starogard Gdanski -2.5 @ 1.890

Bet at Cloudbet